Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 97.820402 111.360664 126.791284 145.828315 168.891990 196.201427 2.313958e+02
2025-04-27 82.777965 101.113141 124.152666 155.861073 199.410530 258.780273 3.489553e+02
2025-05-04 70.605874 90.067494 116.073475 154.535047 212.148784 299.237591 4.497771e+02
2025-05-11 63.093475 83.257986 111.550755 155.935586 227.514889 346.130876 5.778249e+02
2025-05-18 56.481970 76.492937 105.653365 153.596633 235.743302 382.983305 7.041107e+02
2025-05-25 52.130780 72.291984 102.715162 154.996599 249.992139 434.228475 8.858331e+02
2025-06-01 48.167729 68.129806 99.152037 154.528804 260.492623 481.328136 1.087071e+03
2025-06-08 44.492781 63.977802 95.017099 152.254947 266.847951 521.671448 1.299348e+03
2025-06-15 42.746643 62.656931 95.307359 157.896545 290.315115 609.890164 1.734684e+03
2025-06-22 39.174877 58.031513 89.455983 151.024427 285.478596 626.058618 1.936359e+03
2025-06-29 36.966437 55.465357 86.904140 150.179478 293.955697 681.496740 2.362364e+03
2025-07-06 35.097142 53.305286 84.835723 149.969960 303.876283 745.708704 2.925351e+03
2025-07-13 34.017207 52.568074 85.567816 156.371914 333.709804 894.813003 4.326475e+03
2025-07-20 33.482917 52.758077 88.106527 167.342904 380.017590 1139.761084 7.421771e+03
2025-07-27 31.602052 50.355539 85.361105 165.882918 391.253979 1260.664978 1.017108e+04
2025-08-03 30.225821 48.749824 83.998961 167.422896 412.176819 1444.972441 1.544867e+04
2025-08-10 28.586877 46.521656 81.141652 164.851221 419.475253 1573.360408 2.166967e+04
2025-08-17 27.474411 45.195775 80.000768 166.390329 441.247188 1806.984085 3.623925e+04
2025-08-24 26.280668 43.622248 78.178698 165.875990 455.938256 2021.542066 6.038722e+04
2025-08-31 25.026046 41.842511 75.749237 163.376611 462.729509 2197.916060 9.849909e+04
2025-09-07 24.539730 41.528902 76.465727 169.579930 505.952612 2723.957767 3.176843e+05
2025-09-14 23.080866 39.189548 72.495554 162.024550 490.576190 2740.245077 4.591609e+05
2025-09-21 22.197621 37.953232 70.903453 161.096349 503.457760 3050.925334 1.432684e+06